Tuesday, January 31, 2012

Foreclosures Decline in Portland, but not every part

Latest statistics from CoreLogic and RealtyTrac have shown that Portland foreclosures are on the decline in 2011, and will continue throughout 2012.  Rates of decline in Portland have dropped by 3.21%, making the percent of homes in foreclosure for the city 2.39%.   The amount of homeowners delinquent on their mortgage payments, is also lessoning.  The foreclosure percentages are fairing better than the nation, and also better than the state.  The state is at 2.8%, and that was an increase.  The overall national foreclosure rate is 3.41%, and that number is on the decline.

Things are sounding good for the Portland area.  RealtyTrac reports that the percentage of sales for the nation that are actual foreclosures is around 20%.  Whereas in the state of Oregon, only 15% of home sales are comprised of the bank owned (REO) properties. 

I thought I would take that a little bit further and show you what 2011 looked like in some local sub markets of Portland.

For the first month of the 2012, the following statistics are RMLS data of the percent of bank-owned, single family residences and condos, in proportion to the total closed sales for each area.

  1. Beaverton/Aloha      35%
  2. SW Portland            20%
  3. Hillsboro                  36%
  4. NW PDX 97229     10%
  5. NE Portland             18%
  6. SE Portland              29%
  7. Lake Oswego/WL   18%
  8. Tigard/Tualatin         26%
It appears there is more foreclosure activity going on than the Realty Trac suggests.  Or, the January 2012 numbers suggest that Nov and Dec sales were gobbling up more bank owned homes that the previous year's trend. 

Nevertheless, what occured in the last months of winter, is reflected in the first part of the year, and the result has left us with an anemic supply of inventory, both traditional, bank owned, and short sale.  We now are at the lowest level of housing supply in the last 3 years.  The metro area of Portland sits at 5.3 months.

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